We would use the recent bounce in the Boden 15 price as an opportunity to sell.
1-) As an alternative, we would swap into the PDVSA 14 or PDVSA 15, both of which are trading much wider vis-à-vis their Argentinean counterpart and which, we feel, are within the timeframe of the Venezuelan government’s impending fiscal crisis.
Sell Boden 15 at 90.25 (ytw 15.743%)
Buy PDVSA 14 at 92 (ytw 17.297%)
Or
Buy PDVSA 15 at 82 (ytw 17.620%)
2-)For the more risk adverse, we would maintain the proceeds in cash and wait for an opportunity to buy the bond lower.
