Downgrading to Underperform on announced nationalization
Lowering Price Objective from US$33.00 to US$7.15/ADR
We are downgrading our rating on YPF from Neutral to Underperform and ourprice objective from US$33.00/ADR to US$7.15/ADR (from ArP165.00 toArP35.65 per share) on the back of the announced plan by the Argentinegovernment to take control of 51% of the shares of YPF. Of these shares, 51%would be held by the federal government and the remaining 49%, by theprovinces. Our new Price Objective is based on taking an 85% discount to thevalue we estimate for the company’s assets if managed for economic returns. Webelieve there is further downside risk under certain scenarios to our priceobjective. The price, according to press articles, would be set by a governmenttribunal.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/bank-america-buries-ypf