Este tipo, Jim Cramer, es medio payasesco, es como un Tinelli de la bolsa. Sin embargo, tiene mucha experiencia y cantó la justa muchas veces. A sus opiniones del día a día nunca las escucho, pero sí a las apocalípticas, porque no son muchas y las pegó casi todas.
Pese a que los cupones están baratos, ya casi no me quedan dudas de que van a estar más baratos.
El que sigue en renta variable es un suicida.
El que está vendido en descubierto en Europa probablemente la junte con pala.
A European Lehman is upon us
http://www.thestreet.com/story/11245530 ... l=dontmiss
NEW YORK (RealMoney) -- At least it is no longer complicated. We know a European Lehman is upon us. Or, more like it, a European Lehman/Bear/Merrill/Washington Mutual/Wachovia/Citigroup.
That's the first proposition.
Second, we know that "they" have no plan to deal with it.
Third, we don't even know who "they" is anymore. Is it the Germans? The French? The IMF? The European Central Bank? Trichet?
Fourth, it is now too late for the banks to raise capital. As you recall, when the ratings agencies strike, it very quickly leads to Lehman. The banks can't get short-term funding and they collapse.
Fifth, the French banks in particular have been getting away with hiding their version of subprime debt, Greek debt, forever.
Sixth, our country isn't able to stop any of this. We are too weak and it is none of our business.
Seventh, because of how tightly correlated we are with Europe, individual stocks can't buck the trend, at least initially. Later on they will, because while our banking system won't collapse, it can't help but cause a worldwide recession if it all goes bad, which it looks like it is going to do.
So, the only battle plan is to brace yourself if you can't short. Raise some cash if you can. And short the S&P and double- and triple-short the financials -- the levered ETFs will certainly give you that chance.
At least we will get this over with soon and we can see what it looks like when the smoke clears.
Dire?
No.
Honest.