TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Foro dedicado al Mercado de Valores.
martin
Mensajes: 31294
Registrado: Mar Jun 14, 2011 1:31 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor martin » Vie May 28, 2010 7:20 pm

kilobat escribió:Pablo, si se acoplo con el anuncio, no se volvera a desacoplar con el anuncio del resultado final del canje ?????? :wink: escucho ofertas :roll:

El anuncio del inicio formal del canje tuvo un timming increíblemente nefasto que a algunos nos hizo tener dudas algunos días ya que el canje nos parecía una buena noticia pero a la vez empezó la crisis de los mercados por lo de Grecia ese día lo que era evidentemente una novedad muy mala.
Repito: Increíble el timming que tuvieron.... :roll:

martin
Mensajes: 31294
Registrado: Mar Jun 14, 2011 1:31 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor martin » Vie May 28, 2010 7:15 pm

Por eso está clarísimo que gran parte de la volátilidad y la baja que vimos es porque a partir de ese momento nos empezamos a acoplar. Primero nos acoplamos fuerte con Europa pero enseguida empezamos a sincronizarmos totalmente con el dow. Y el tvpp creo es uno de los activos que más se acopló a eso. Si uno ve los intradiarios del tvpp y del dow se puede llegar a sorprender por el acople casi al segundo que hay.
Yo esa pauta la ví sin gráfico casi cuando se empezó a gestar (y así actué en ese momento: vendí). Los gráficos muy buenos de Phantom, por lo tanto, ratifican muy bien la pauta que observamos algunos que seguimos el mercado día a día.

kilobat
Mensajes: 7120
Registrado: Lun Dic 29, 2008 11:37 am

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor kilobat » Vie May 28, 2010 7:14 pm

Pablo, si se acoplo con el anuncio, no se volvera a desacoplar con el anuncio del resultado final del canje ?????? :wink: escucho ofertas :roll:

pablo9494
Mensajes: 11978
Registrado: Mié Oct 07, 2009 6:00 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor pablo9494 » Vie May 28, 2010 7:10 pm

boquita escribió:ESTABA TAN DESCONTADO ESO PARA MI..
COMO LA BAJA DE LA NOTA A ESPAÑA :bebe: :bebe:

No lo creo...veremos la semana proxima

pablo9494
Mensajes: 11978
Registrado: Mié Oct 07, 2009 6:00 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor pablo9494 » Vie May 28, 2010 7:08 pm

apolo1102 escribió:Retomo el analisis de Phantom, que es muy bueno.

Baje el archivo y corregi la ecala a TVPP x 13 (en lugar de 15), creo que se ve mejor, y se pueden sacar algunas conclusiones muy interesantes:

Imagen

Justo el dia despues del anuncio de oferta del canje se acopolo perfecto al DOW...

boquita
Mensajes: 32201
Registrado: Vie Mar 02, 2007 6:23 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor boquita » Vie May 28, 2010 7:08 pm

martin escribió:Boquita:

En el stadium cerrado de Velez que sonó muy mal por otra parte. Yo también fui a ese recital.....
Si ahora soy malo en esa época era malísimooo !!... :mrgreen:

EN UNA DE SAS NOS VIMOS ..
Y NO LO SABEMOS!
:wink:

Pascua
Mensajes: 23268
Registrado: Sab Feb 13, 2010 2:45 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor Pascua » Vie May 28, 2010 7:08 pm

apolo1102 escribió:Retomo el analisis de Phantom, que es muy bueno.

Baje el archivo y corregi la ecala a TVPP x 13 (en lugar de 15), creo que se ve mejor, y se pueden sacar algunas conclusiones muy interesantes:

Imagen

No veo la baja de hoy...

martin
Mensajes: 31294
Registrado: Mar Jun 14, 2011 1:31 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor martin » Vie May 28, 2010 7:07 pm

Boquita:

En el stadium cerrado de Velez que sonó muy mal por otra parte. Yo también fui a ese recital.....
Si ahora soy malo en esa época era malísimooo !!... :mrgreen:

boquita
Mensajes: 32201
Registrado: Vie Mar 02, 2007 6:23 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor boquita » Vie May 28, 2010 7:06 pm

ESTABA TAN DESCONTADO ESO PARA MI..
COMO LA BAJA DE LA NOTA A ESPAÑA
:bebe: :bebe:

pablo9494
Mensajes: 11978
Registrado: Mié Oct 07, 2009 6:00 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor pablo9494 » Vie May 28, 2010 7:04 pm

Stocks Tumble, Dow Ends Worst May Since 1940

Benchmark indexes extended losses on concern tensions between North Korea and South Korea may lead to conflict.

May 28 (Bloomberg) -- Nicole Elliott, an analyst at Mizuho Corporate Bank Ltd., and James Bevan, chief investment officer at CCLA Investment Management Ltd., talk about the outlook for European stocks and gold. (Source: Bloomberg)
U.S. stocks slid, capping the worst May for the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1940, while the euro slumped and Treasuries rose as a downgrade of Spain’s debt rating and escalating tensions on the Korean peninsula triggered a flight from riskier assets.

The Dow tumbled 122.36 points, or 1.2 percent, to 10,136.63 at 4 p.m. in New York and lost 7.9 percent this month. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index sank 1.2 percent to 1,089.41, led by financial shares on the Spanish downgrade and energy companies after U.S. President Barack Obama extended a moratorium on new deep-water drilling. Oil erased gains after rallying as much as 1.6 percent to more than $75 a barrel. Ten-year Treasury yields decreased 7 basis points to 3.3 percent. The euro slipped 0.7 percent to $1.2273.

Equities and commodities extended losses after Fitch Ratings stripped Spain of the AAA rating it’s held since 2003, saying the nation’s economic growth will slow as it attempts to cut its debts. Earlier losses followed disappointing U.S. economic data and a North Korean general’s warning of “all-out war” if any accidental clashes with South Korea break out.

Spain’s downgrade just adds to more uncertainty,” said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist for Newark, New Jersey- based Prudential Financial Inc., which oversees about $667 billion. “There are too many geopolitical events. We have a three-day weekend in the U.S., and traders will definitely want to lighten their books.”

‘All-Out War’

Losses in U.S. stocks widened earlier after North Korean Major General Pak Rim Su disputed the results of the international investigation that found his nation sank a South Korean warship. “Any accidental clash that may break out in the waters of the West Sea of Korea or in areas along the Demilitarized Zone will lead to all-out war,” he said, according to North Korea’s official news organization.

About 9.2 billion shares changed hands on all U.S. exchanges, 4 percent below the average for the year as trading slowed before the Memorial Day holiday.

“With volumes being as they are today ahead of the holiday weekend, there is not much in the way of conviction among traders,” said Mark Turner, head of U.S. sales trading at Instinet LLC, which handles about 4 percent of U.S. equity trading volume. “So any headline has the potential to move the market. And the situation in North Korea has especially been in our crosshairs.”

China’s Assurance

The retreat in the S&P 500 today came after the benchmark index rallied 3.3 percent yesterday as China assured investors it was committed to maintaining European investments even as a sovereign debt crisis rattles confidence in the region.

Benchmark indexes pared declines late in the day after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist David Kostin raised his estimates for S&P 500 earnings to $78 a share for this year and $93 a share for 2011, up from $76 and $90, to reflect “strong” first quarter earnings and better-than-estimated profit margins.

The S&P 500 trimmed its advance for the week to 0.2 percent, while the MSCI World Index of shares in 24 developed nations rose 0.6 percent over the past five days. The U.S. gauge sank 8.2 percent in May and the global gauge lost 9.9 percent, the worst month since February 2009 for both and the biggest slide in May for the S&P 500 since 1962.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index erased gains, dropping 0.3 percent today after rallying as much as 0.7 percent. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.5 percent.

Golf Balls, Scraps

BP Plc slid 5 percent in London after Europe’s second- largest oil company said procedures to plug a leaking well in the Gulf of Mexico may last another day or two. BP added rubber golf balls and scraps to the mud it was pumping into its leaking Gulf of Mexico oil well in an effort to stop the spill.

Baker Hughes Inc., Halliburton Co., Transocean Ltd. and Schlumberger Ltd. slumped at least 4.9 percent to help lead declines in U.S. energy shares.

Obama is suspending exploration in two areas off Alaska, canceling pending lease sales in the Gulf of Mexico and proposed sales off Virginia’s coast, extending by six months a moratorium on deepwater drilling permits and suspending operations at all 33 exploratory wells being drilled in the Gulf.

The gain in Treasuries extended the drop in 10-year yields this month to 36 basis points, the biggest monthly loss since December 2008, as government data showed consumer spending in the U.S. unexpectedly stalled, fueling speculation the economic recovery will be slow.

Lowest Since 2009

The benchmark note yield touched 3.06 percent on May 25, the lowest level since April 29, 2009. Its 17 basis point gain yesterday was the most since June.

A gauge of U.S. corporate credit risk climbed the most in 15 months in May as Europe’s sovereign debt crisis sparked concern that economic growth may slow, making it harder for companies to refinance.

The Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index Series 14, which investors use to hedge against losses on corporate debt or to speculate on creditworthiness, increased 1.34 basis points today and 25.2 basis points this month to a mid-price of 117.17 basis points as of 4:19 p.m. in New York, according to Markit Group Ltd. The index, which typically falls as investor confidence improves and rises as it deteriorates, climbed the most since February 2009, according to CMA DataVision.

Credit markets faltered in May as corporate bond sales fell to the least in a decade amid speculation Greece and other nations in Europe won’t be able to meet their debt payments and as the dispute between North Korea and South Korea raised the risk of a broader conflict.

Crude oil for July delivery fell 58 cents, or 0.8 percent, to settle at $73.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil’s 14 percent decline in May was the biggest monthly decrease since December 2008, when prices touched $32.40 a barrel.

Copper for July delivery lost 1.7 percent to $3.1045 a pound in New York. Gold futures rose in New York, capping a second straight monthly gain, on demand for an alternative to holding the euro. Gold for August delivery climbed 60 cents to $1,215 an ounce in New York.

To contact the reporters on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net; Elizabeth Stanton in New York at estanton@bloomberg.net.

martin
Mensajes: 31294
Registrado: Mar Jun 14, 2011 1:31 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor martin » Vie May 28, 2010 7:04 pm

Pascua escribió:El paro en España estaba superdescontado, se asume que esas medidas llevan a la huelga, lo que no esta descontado es el grado de violencia que expresaran esas huelgas, no digo la semana que viene sino mas adelante.

Ya volví y ahora me siento mejor después de la descarga de adrenalina. Mientras escuchaba en mi mp4 "painkiller" de Judas Priest le dí un par de patadas en la cabeza a un par de ancianitos (me los imaginaba con la cara de Atrevido) y la verdad me volví a relajar.

Obvio que cualquier ser humano, medianamente informado tenga posgrados o no, sabía que se venía la huelga.

Los mercados podrán bajar o no por esto pero que esto lo sabían es una verdad grande como una casa. Solo el "genio" del análisis sociológico se sorprendió con la noticia... :roll: :mrgreen:

boquita
Mensajes: 32201
Registrado: Vie Mar 02, 2007 6:23 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor boquita » Vie May 28, 2010 7:02 pm

boquita escribió:6.60 muy buen numero
:wink:

cerro por arriba de eso..
a "eso" me refiero..
:)

boquita
Mensajes: 32201
Registrado: Vie Mar 02, 2007 6:23 pm

Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

Mensajepor boquita » Vie May 28, 2010 7:00 pm

6.60 muy buen numero
:wink:


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